<AUR>.Forecast Discussion

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2020 Jul 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity remained at very low levels. No Earth-directed CMEs were
detected.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low on 13-15 Jul.

Energetic Particles

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

.Forecast...
Both the greater than 2 MeV electron and 10 MeV proton fluxes are
expected to remain below event thresholds over 13-15 Jul.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters remained at nominal levels. Solar wind speeds
were below 300 km/s. Total field was at or below 3 nT while the
Bz component varied weakly between +1/-3 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a
predominately positive solar sector.

.Forecast...
Weak influences from a positive polarity CH HSS are expected to
enhance the geomagnetic field on 13 Jul. A possible glancing blow
from the 8 Jul CME is expected to cause enhanced conditions on 14-15
Jul.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 13 Jul
due to CH HSS influences. Unsettled to active levels are expected on 14
Jul due to a possible glancing blow from the 8 Jul CME. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected on 15 Jul as CH HSS/CME influences
wane.